Virginia
W-L: (38-24) PR = 96.1013Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 13- 7 214 H Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 25-10 214 H Wagner NE ( 2-14, 88.4) 31- 8 217 A Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 5- 4 220 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 21- 6 221 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 5- 6 222 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 5- 4 225 H George Washington A10 ( 4- 3, 91.4) 11- 0 227 H VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 5- 3 228 H VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 7- 6 301 A VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 5- 3 303 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 0- 8 304 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 8- 3 306 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 13- 1 307 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 9- 2 307 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 7- 8 310 H William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 9- 7 313 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 11- 6 314 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 10- 5 315 H Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 3- 6 317 H Georgetown BE (25-29, 91.1) 6- 4 318 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 14-10 320 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 10- 6 321 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 4- 5 322 H Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 14- 4 324 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 16- 6 327 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 3- 5 328 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 0-17 329 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 3- 1 331 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 16- 2 402 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 4- 3 403 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 2- 5 404 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 3- 9 407 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 7- 4 410 H Kansas B12 (41-18, 97.1) 8- 4 411 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 3- 5 412 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 20- 5 414 A VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 2- 6 416 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 6- 4 417 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 1- 5 418 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 5- 4 422 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 5- 4 424 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 5- 7 425 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 0-11 426 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 3- 7 428 H George Mason A10 ( 5-11, 90.0) 5- 1 429 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 5-10 503 H Radford BSO ( 3- 7, 90.2) 14- 5 503 H Radford BSO ( 3- 7, 90.2) 11- 1 508 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 4- 7 509 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 2- 1 510 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 7- 8 512 H Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 16- 6 514 H Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 8-13 515 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 2- 4 516 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 5-10 520 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 6- 4 521 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 10-16 529 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 7-15 530 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 15-11 530 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 15-11 531 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Wagner 13- 7 6 8 - -2.34
214 H Wagner 25-10 15 8 ++ 5.66
214 H Wagner 31- 8 23 8 ++ 5.66
217 A Presbyterian 5- 4 1 6 -- -4.53
220 H Northern Kentucky 21- 6 15 7 +++ 6.75
221 A Stetson 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.66
222 H Eastern Kentucky 5- 4 1 6 -- -4.56
225 H George Washington 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.63
227 H VCU 5- 3 2 3 -0.55
228 H VCU 7- 6 1 3 -1.55
301 A VCU 5- 3 2 1 0.80
303 H New Mexico State 0- 8 -8 4 --- -11.90
304 H UNC Wilmington 8- 3 5 2 + 2.54
306 H Ohio State 13- 1 12 2 +++ 10.25
307 A North Carolina 9- 2 7 -3 +++ 10.37
307 A North Carolina 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.37
310 H William & Mary 9- 7 2 5 - -3.26
313 H Virginia Tech 11- 6 5 1 + 3.52
314 H Virginia Tech 10- 5 5 1 + 3.52
315 H Virginia Tech 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.48
317 H Georgetown 6- 4 2 6 - -3.66
318 H Charlotte 14-10 4 3 1.33
320 H Wake Forest 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.49
321 A North Carolina A&T 4- 5 -1 5 --- -6.30
322 H Wake Forest 14- 4 10 0 +++ 10.49
324 H Maryland 16- 6 10 2 +++ 8.01
327 A Boston College 3- 5 -2 0 -1.56
328 A Boston College 0-17 -17 0 --- -13.56
329 A Boston College 3- 1 2 0 + 2.44
331 H Old Dominion 16- 2 14 3 +++ 10.53
402 H Florida State 4- 3 1 0 1.21
403 H Florida State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.79
404 H Florida State 3- 9 -6 0 -- -5.79
407 A Kennesaw State 7- 4 3 1 + 2.25
410 H Kansas 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.36
411 A Notre Dame 3- 5 -2 0 -1.53
412 A Notre Dame 20- 5 15 0 +++ 14.47
414 A VCU 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.20
416 H Clemson 6- 4 2 1 0.87
417 H Clemson 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.13
418 H Clemson 5- 4 1 1 -0.13
422 H Liberty 5- 4 1 1 0.37
424 A Pittsburgh 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.06
425 A Pittsburgh 0-11 -11 -1 --- -10.06
426 A Pittsburgh 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.06
428 H George Mason 5- 1 4 7 - -2.75
429 A Seton Hall 5-10 -5 5 --- -9.96
503 H Radford 14- 5 9 7 + 2.42
503 H Radford 11- 1 10 7 + 3.42
508 H California 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.64
509 H California 2- 1 1 2 -0.64
510 H California 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.64
512 H Richmond 16- 6 10 6 ++ 4.05
514 H Cincinnati 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.01
515 H UCF 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.78
516 A Louisville 5-10 -5 -1 -- -4.22
520 H Duke 6- 4 2 2 -0.28
521 A Georgia Tech 10-16 -6 -4 -1.53
529 H Jacksonville State 7-15 -8 0 --- -7.69
530 A Southern Miss 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.20
530 A Southern Miss 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.20
531 A Jacksonville State 6- 7 -1 -2 0.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H New Mexico State 0- 8 -8 4 --- -11.90 321 A North Carolina A&T 4- 5 -1 5 --- -6.30 328 A Boston College 0-17 -17 0 --- -13.56 425 A Pittsburgh 0-11 -11 -1 --- -10.06 429 A Seton Hall 5-10 -5 5 --- -9.96 529 H Jacksonville State 7-15 -8 0 --- -7.69 217 A Presbyterian 5- 4 1 6 -- -4.53 222 H Eastern Kentucky 5- 4 1 6 -- -4.56 315 H Virginia Tech 3- 6 -3 1 -- -4.48 404 H Florida State 3- 9 -6 0 -- -5.79 414 A VCU 2- 6 -4 1 -- -5.20 417 H Clemson 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.13 508 H California 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.64 514 H Cincinnati 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.01 516 A Louisville 5-10 -5 -1 -- -4.22 213 H Wagner 13- 7 6 8 - -2.34 221 A Stetson 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.66 310 H William & Mary 9- 7 2 5 - -3.26 317 H Georgetown 6- 4 2 6 - -3.66 403 H Florida State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.79 426 A Pittsburgh 3- 7 -4 -1 - -3.06 428 H George Mason 5- 1 4 7 - -2.75 510 H California 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.64 515 H UCF 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Northern Kentucky 21- 6 15 7 +++ 6.75 306 H Ohio State 13- 1 12 2 +++ 10.25 307 A North Carolina 9- 2 7 -3 +++ 10.37 322 H Wake Forest 14- 4 10 0 +++ 10.49 324 H Maryland 16- 6 10 2 +++ 8.01 331 H Old Dominion 16- 2 14 3 +++ 10.53 412 A Notre Dame 20- 5 15 0 +++ 14.47 214 H Wagner 25-10 15 8 ++ 5.66 214 H Wagner 31- 8 23 8 ++ 5.66 225 H George Washington 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.63 320 H Wake Forest 10- 6 4 0 ++ 4.49 410 H Kansas 8- 4 4 0 ++ 4.36 512 H Richmond 16- 6 10 6 ++ 4.05 530 A Southern Miss 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.20 530 A Southern Miss 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.20 304 H UNC Wilmington 8- 3 5 2 + 2.54 307 A North Carolina 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.37 313 H Virginia Tech 11- 6 5 1 + 3.52 314 H Virginia Tech 10- 5 5 1 + 3.52 329 A Boston College 3- 1 2 0 + 2.44 407 A Kennesaw State 7- 4 3 1 + 2.25 503 H Radford 14- 5 9 7 + 2.42 503 H Radford 11- 1 10 7 + 3.42 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Wagner ( 2-14, 88.4) 13- 7 -11.46 6.96 -0.68 0.47 5.87
3 H Wagner ( 2-14, 88.4) 25-10 -11.46 6.96 -0.68 0.47 5.87
3 H Wagner ( 2-14, 88.4) 31- 8 -11.46 6.96 -0.68 0.47 5.87
3 A Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 5- 4 -10.00 8.42 0.68 0.47 8.49
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 21- 6 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 0.47 6.88
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 5- 6 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.47 -1.51
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 5- 4 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.47 8.46
3 H George Washing ( 4- 3, 91.4) 11- 0 -8.49 9.93 -0.68 0.47 8.64
3 H VCU (10-10, 94.2) 5- 3 -5.68 12.75 -0.68 0.47 11.27
3 H VCU (10-10, 94.2) 7- 6 -5.68 12.75 -0.68 0.47 11.27
3 A VCU (10-10, 94.2) 5- 3 -5.68 12.75 0.68 0.47 12.53
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 0- 8 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.47 -1.79
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 8- 3 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.47 11.35
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 13- 1 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.47 12.02
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 9- 2 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.47 16.79
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 7- 8 -1.10 17.32 0.68 0.47 -0.10
3 H William & Mary (20-30, 91.5) 9- 7 -8.38 10.05 -0.68 0.47 8.74
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 11- 6 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.47 12.26
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 10- 5 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.47 12.26
3 H Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 3- 6 -4.61 13.82 -0.68 0.47 -1.23
3 H Georgetown (25-29, 91.1) 6- 4 -8.78 9.65 -0.68 0.47 8.37
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 14-10 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.47 11.16
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 10- 6 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.47 14.10
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 4- 5 -9.77 8.66 0.68 0.47 -2.12
3 H Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 14- 4 -2.63 15.79 -0.68 0.47 14.10
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 16- 6 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.47 11.79
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 3- 5 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.47 -0.78
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 0-17 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.47 -0.78
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 3- 1 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.47 14.05
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 16- 2 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.47 10.41
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 4- 3 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.47 13.84
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 2- 5 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.47 -0.84
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 3- 9 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.47 -0.84
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 7- 4 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.47 12.95
3 H Kansas (41-18, 97.1) 8- 4 -2.76 15.66 -0.68 0.47 13.98
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 3- 5 -4.01 14.42 0.68 0.47 -0.78
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 20- 5 -4.01 14.42 0.68 0.47 14.08
3 A VCU (10-10, 94.2) 2- 6 -5.68 12.75 0.68 0.47 -1.17
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 6- 4 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.47 12.59
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 1- 5 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.47 -1.15
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 5- 4 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.47 12.59
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 5- 4 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.47 13.06
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 5- 7 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.47 -0.67
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 0-11 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.47 -0.67
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 3- 7 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.47 -0.67
3 H George Mason ( 5-11, 90.0) 5- 1 -9.88 8.55 -0.68 0.47 7.35
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 5-10 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.47 -2.04
3 H Radford ( 3- 7, 90.2) 14- 5 -9.70 8.73 -0.68 0.47 7.51
3 H Radford ( 3- 7, 90.2) 11- 1 -9.70 8.73 -0.68 0.47 7.51
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 4- 7 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.47 -1.27
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 2- 1 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.47 12.11
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 7- 8 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.47 -1.27
3 H Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 16- 6 -9.07 9.35 -0.68 0.47 8.09
3 H Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 8-13 -3.13 15.29 -0.68 0.47 -0.89
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 2- 4 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.47 -1.07
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 5-10 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.47 -0.71
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 6- 4 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.47 11.52
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 10-16 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.47 -0.16
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 7-15 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.47 -0.81
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 15-11 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.47 14.77
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 15-11 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.47 14.77
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 6- 7 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.47 -0.50
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395.45
|
winning pts = 419.2578 losing points = -23.8070
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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